Friday, March 30, 2007

Stocks Slide after China Sell-Off



Shanghai's major index dropped 8.8%, prompting equity weakness worldwide. Investors were also spooked by a big drop in durable goods orders. Read More

China's internet users jump 30%



The number of people using the internet in China grew by 30% over the last year to 132 million, state media reports. Read more.

Shanghai officials hit by scandal


Nine senior officials and business leaders have been reportedly expelled from China's Communist Party over a huge Shanghai corruption scandal. Read more

Despite China's market reforms, Communist officials still have control over large parts of manufacturing, banking and real estate industries.

Corruption is a widespread and growing problem, which Beijing is struggling to control, our correspondent says.

China's lost talent overseas



A report by the Academy of Social Sciences in Beijing suggests that China suffers from the world's most severe brain drain.

About two-thirds of Chinese who have studied abroad since the 1980s have chosen not to go back home, according to state media.

Here, four of those who left their homes to pursue education abroad reflect on the choices they have made and what these mean for China. Read More.

"Made In Italy" woos Chinese

Michele Norsa, chief executive of Salvatore Ferragamo, the Italian luxury goods
group, is a man on a mission. He has just completed a tour of the company’s Asian operations, and formulating a China strategy tops his agenda.

Mr Norsa was hired last October from Valentino, a listed Italian fashion house, to help prepare Ferragamo – best known for its upmarket shoes – for a possible stock market listing some time in the next two years.

He hopes to present a three-year plan to the company’s owners by the end of April. Ferragamo last year posted sales of €632m, half of which came from the Asia region, including Japan.

“I need to understand the potential of the company, its different markets and where it is more
profitable,” he told the Financial Times. “I do know that luxury brands are growing faster than [Asia’s] economies.”

Mr Norsa is deciding how best to develop Ferragamo’s existing China business, which
comprises 25 stores in 19 cities. The aim is to open another five stores this year on the way to hitting 50 on the mainland by 2010.

The ambitious plan would catapult the group’s China presence towards its total of 72 outlets in Japan, the group’s biggest market in Asia. Ferragamo operates 480 stores across the world.

If the company’s stores in the self-governing enclaves of Hong Kong and Macau are
included, greater China already ranks third in terms of total sales. However, Mr Norsa cautions: “China is the most complex luxury goods market in the world. You cannot be sure which cities will develop.”

Annual same-store sales growth on the mainland is growing at 50 per cent. As well as this organic growth, the company has to decide how to boost “perimeter” growth: enlarging existing stores and increasing the number of outlets.

He says: “In India it is difficult to imagine where we can grow our perimeter. But in China there are up to 25 cities where it is possible to expand. Second-tier Chinese cities have 5m people, so
the potential is huge.”

Mr Norsa says that the pace of perimeter growth is driven by property development, and also y factors such as the quality of both the shopping environment and other tenants in malls.

Ferragamo licenses some of its mainland stores through franchises with local groups that, he says, “sometimes have easier access to good real estate”.

But any expansion will not be unbridled. He says: “We must be selective in our growth and wary of the wrong geography and products. China is profitable but it can be more so.”

The group’s entire product line, including 1.5m pairs of shoes a year, is produced in factories in Italy, and Mr Norsa says he sees no need – at present – to take advantage of cheaper manufacturing costs by outsourcing some production to China.

“The Chinese consumer wants a real product, with a ‘Made in Italy’ label. I believe that people are ready to spend more if they feel they are buying something exclusive.”

He is sanguine about the issue of counterfeiting, which is often cited as a barrier to the development of a sustainable luxury goods market in China.

“We don’t have a major counterfeit problem in China. The real product and fake products appeal to completely different markets, so we are not really losing sales,” he says. “In recent years the
Chinese authorities have moved to tackle the problem. It is not just a China problem, it happens even in Italy.”

Mr Norsa is pinning his hopes on the twin beliefs that Chinese consumers desire original goods
and that Ferragamo’s long history – it was founded in 1927 – appeals to mainlanders. “Ours is a story of craftsmanship, of a family-owned business. The Chinese identify with this.”

As well as finding store locations, he accepts Ferragamo will have to overcome a number of challenges if its China strategy is to succeed.

At present, sales to women in Chinese stores, on average, account for 50 per cent of the total, as opposed to 60 per cent in other markets.

The Chinese are also buying lower priced items. “We need to push the customer towards more selective products.” He feels this can be achieved through consumer education and that luxury goods will gain wider appeal as China’s social life develops.

In the US, he says, one high-profile former sports star recently walked into a store and ordered 150 pairs of bespoke shoes, at a cost of $250,000. “It shows how a single customer can effect the sales figures,” he says.

Mr Norsa rates Hermès, the French fashion brand, as his own brand’s benchmark. “It has the [right] image and product and is of consistent quality,” he says.

“We can still upgrade our image and we must be known as a luxury brand. This is what Hermès has done.”

Other sales improvements include revitalising its watches division and developing products used in hotel bathrooms and the like. “It is important for visibility and a good way to get in touch with
customers.”

To gain a competitive edge, Mr Norsa likes to holiday in markets where he feels he needs to learn more about consumer tastes. This summer he plans two weeks travelling across China, having spent recent vacations in India and south-east Asia.

“It is important to understand the business environment and the life of its people. Holidays can help achieve that.”



Chinese Business Culture


When I hear the word culture used to explain business, I do not quite reach for the proverbial revolver but I do at least don my flak jacket. It is certainly wise to put one on early in this book, which, as its title announces, is a primer on how to negotiate with the Chinese. See Original Article

Such books inevitably suffer from the need to create an overarching set of assumptions, in this case about "the Chinese", no matter what alternative explanations for behaviour might be available. The Chinese, as defined here, are mainland Chinese, not those from Hong Kong, Taiwan or other parts of the great diaspora.

The assumptions are numerous, based on supposed Confucian and cultural norms: about the importance of creating a friendly, harmonious atmosphere, often fuelled by numerous banquets and alcoholic toasts; about the need to be patient and keep your cool, even in the face of
deliberate time wasting and histrionics; and aboutthe sensitivity of the Chinese to perceived slights, a "victim mentality", based on foreign atrocities in the18th and 19th centuries, that has been carefully nurtured by Chinese politicians ever since.

Much of the advice meted out here is good and true as far as it goes and some is common sense, such as advising foreign companies to ensure they have a well-briefed interpreter on their team. That and do not send executives to China who dislike Chinese food. (Do people really pay for such advice?)

Face is crucial, as the authors emphasise. Foreigners can attempt to gain a tactical advantage by making it clear that they have "lost face", such as being embarrassed back in head office by the
position they have been put in during negotiations.

So, too, is it important to understand Chinese history and the sense of grievance about it that most Chinese carry with them. Such sensitivities are never far from the surface and can be easily inflamed by a perceived lack of respect on the foreigners' part.

But the authors over-egg the cultural pudding and undercook the politics. An example is the
advice throughout about the need for foreign executives to behave like "Confucian gentlemen", minding their manners in the face of whatever provocations fly across the table. How then, does one square the calculated temper tantrum that is a staple of Chinese-style negotiations?

Confucius is a malleable old sage, as we can see from his revival in recent years as a role model after being reviled during Mao Zedong's rule. When the Chinese lose their temper, it is a
clever tactic to throw the other side off its game. But when the silly westerner does it, it becomes a transgression of deep-rooted cultural rules. Confucius can cut both ways.

The biggest challenge facing most foreigners who attempt to negotiate joint ventures or standalone businesses in China is not navigating cultural minefields, as real as those can be. It is grasping the prevailing politics affecting their industry or venture, including the price to be paid for state assets.

In a society as lacking in transparency and free flow of information as China, this is where the real peril lies. The authors touch on the pitfalls of politics but with little impact. A number of their assertions in this area, or the assertions of others that they implicitly endorse, are bizarre.

One of the authors' interlocutors says that what foreign companies rarely understand is that Chinese officials are always thinking of the long term, "15 to 20 years ahead", and "what is best for China". The best officials in the central government in Beijing would choke on their congee if they read this statement. They spend their days trying to rein in local officials whose prime aim is quick gross domestic product growth to ensure their promotions. The "long-term" investment horizon for these local officials is the next couple of years.

Herein lies one of China's great contradictions. The leadership is often praised for its "long-term, strategic" thinking, even as it rules over an economy that is almost entirely geared to generating short-term profits.

Some of the case studies in the book need a rethink as well.

The one about Volkswagen is replete with misstatements. It says the German carmaker won its leadership position through "product quality, reputation and pricing".

In fact, VW's position in China owed everything to its having been allowed into the market first while rivals were kept out. The moment other foreigners were let in, VW's market share plummeted, from more than 50 per cent in 2002 to about 10 per cent now. Its reputation for "quality" has suffered from its dominance of the cheap end of the protected sedan market.

There is much to be said for understanding cultural norms in China. The Chinese certainly see themselves as distinct and, by and large, have no cultural affinity with foreigners, a point that is well made in this book.

But politics in Asia often comes disguised as culture. The two are not always easily separated and anyone staring across the bargaining table at the "Chinese negotiator" had better be mindful of both.

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Last Updated 30th April 2007



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